When independent sources converge on the same conclusion without coordinating, analysts have found something real. Here's how convergence detection works, from the Cuban Missile Crisis to 2026's deepfake threat.
Long before a war makes the evening news, satellite constellations, event databases, and crowdsourced verification are already tracking the buildup. Here is how OSINT conflict early warning actually works, and where it still fails.
The Pearl Harbor attack wasn't a failure of missing intelligence, it was a failure of drowning signal in noise. That same problem, at a scale nobody in 1941 could have imagined, defines OSINT work today.
