HVO Kilauea ORANGE/WATCH - Precursory low-level eruptive activity before episode 56 of the ongoing Halemaʻumaʻu eruption began around 11:43 a.m. HST on Monday, November 2. USGS classifies Kilauea as a "Very High Threat" volcano.
A magnitude 6.0 earthquake struck 165 km NW of Port-Olry, Vanuatu at a depth of about 10 km, reported by the USGS. Earthquakes of this size can cause significant damage to vulnerable structures near the epicenter. This is at least the 83rd magnitude 5.0+ earthquake recorded within roughly 300 km of this location in the past year (82 others in that window). The nearest major population center is Port Vila, Vanuatu, roughly 477 km away (population ~50,000).
From 01/11/2026 to 01/11/2026, a Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 120 km/h) FOUR-26 was active in NorthIndian. The cyclone affects these countries: India (vulnerability High). Estimated population affected by category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 1.156 million . Classified Red by GDACS, the EU Joint Research Centre's Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System.
A magnitude 6.0 earthquake struck 58 km SSE of Shima, Japan at a depth of about 352 km, reported by the USGS. Earthquakes of this size can cause significant damage to vulnerable structures near the epicenter. This is at least the 7th magnitude 5.0+ earthquake recorded within roughly 300 km of this location in the past year (6 others in that window). The nearest major population center is Osaka, Japan, roughly 167 km away (population ~19 million).
Planetary Kp index has reached 6.0, which is NOAA level G2 (Moderate geomagnetic storm). Aurora likely at high latitudes (northern-tier US states, Scotland, Scandinavia, Canada). Possible impacts: minor power grid fluctuations, minor satellite operation impacts, migratory animals affected.
A magnitude 6.2 earthquake struck 43 km ESE of Port-Olry, Vanuatu at a depth of about 143 km, reported by the USGS. Earthquakes of this size can cause significant damage to vulnerable structures near the epicenter. This is at least the 76th magnitude 5.0+ earthquake recorded within roughly 300 km of this location in the past year (75 others in that window). The nearest major population center is Port Vila, Vanuatu, roughly 297 km away (population ~50,000).
A magnitude 6.4 earthquake struck southeast of Easter Island at a depth of about 10 km, reported by the USGS. Earthquakes of this size can cause significant damage to vulnerable structures near the epicenter. This is at least the 3rd magnitude 5.0+ earthquake recorded within roughly 300 km of this location in the past year (2 others in that window). The nearest major population center is Concepcion, Chile, roughly 2225 km away (population ~1.1 million).
A large-scale power outage is being reported: "BREAKING: Widespread Power Outage Disrupts Water Supply Across Six Gauteng Municipalities". Widespread outages can be caused by severe weather, grid failures, or - relevant to what this site tracks - a strong geomagnetic storm inducing damaging currents in transformers.
Flood Warning issued November 3 at 6:15AM MST until November 3 at 6:00PM MST by NWS Albuquerque NM (National Weather Service, United States). Currently covers 28 areas: San Juan, NM; Coconino, AZ; Navajo, AZ; San Juan, UT; Rio Arriba, NM; Alamosa, CO; Rio Grande, CO; Maricopa, AZ; Gila, AZ; Graham, AZ (+18 more areas).
A magnitude 6.0 earthquake struck 214 km NW of Port-Olry, Vanuatu at a depth of about 10 km, reported by the USGS. Earthquakes of this size can cause significant damage to vulnerable structures near the epicenter. This is at least the 72nd magnitude 5.0+ earthquake recorded within roughly 300 km of this location in the past year (71 others in that window). The nearest major population center is Port Vila, Vanuatu, roughly 522 km away (population ~50,000).
A major road closure is being reported: "LIVE updates as Surrey road CLOSED in both directions after accident". Large-scale closures are usually caused by severe weather (flooding, ice, wildfire), a structural failure, or a serious multi-vehicle incident.
Flash Flood Warning issued November 3 at 2:05AM MST until November 3 at 9:00AM MST by NWS Flagstaff AZ (National Weather Service, United States). Affected area: Coconino, AZ.
A large-scale flight disruption is being reported: "Thunderstorms prompt ground stops at Bush, Hobby airports". Mass cancellations or ground stops are usually caused by severe weather, a major technical outage, or a security/safety event.
The U.S. State Department has issued a Worldwide Caution, urging Americans everywhere to exercise increased vigilance - typically prompted by heightened global tensions or an active conflict. Reported: "Security Alert: U.S. Mission to Saudi Arabia – October 28, 2026".
From 26/10/2026 to 26/10/2026, a Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 204 km/h) ARNAB-26 was active in NorthIndian. The cyclone affects these countries: India (vulnerability High). Estimated population affected by category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 3.049 million . Classified Red by GDACS, the EU Joint Research Centre's Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System.
From 26/10/2026 to 26/10/2026, a Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 120 km/h) TWO-26 was active in NorthIndian. The cyclone affects these countries: India (vulnerability High). Estimated population affected by category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 0.356 million . Classified Orange by GDACS, the EU Joint Research Centre's Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System.
A magnitude 6.2 earthquake struck 21 km E of Port-Olry, Vanuatu at a depth of about 136 km, reported by the USGS. Earthquakes of this size can cause significant damage to vulnerable structures near the epicenter. This is at least the 62nd magnitude 5.0+ earthquake recorded within roughly 300 km of this location in the past year (61 others in that window). The nearest major population center is Port Vila, Vanuatu, roughly 322 km away (population ~50,000).
A magnitude 6.5 earthquake struck Bonin Islands, Japan region at a depth of about 492 km, reported by the USGS. Earthquakes of this size can cause significant damage to vulnerable structures near the epicenter. This is at least the 4th magnitude 5.0+ earthquake recorded within roughly 300 km of this location in the past year (3 others in that window). The nearest major population center is Osaka, Japan, roughly 861 km away (population ~19 million).
Blizzard Warning issued October 23 at 9:32PM AKDT until October 24 at 7:00AM AKDT by NWS Fairbanks AK (National Weather Service, United States). Currently covers 5 areas: Kivalina and Red Dog Dock; Lower Kobuk Valley; Baldwin Peninsula; Northern Seward Peninsula; Western Arctic Coast.
A magnitude 6.3 earthquake struck 170 km NW of Port-Olry, Vanuatu at a depth of about 10 km, reported by the USGS. Earthquakes of this size can cause significant damage to vulnerable structures near the epicenter. This is at least the 44th magnitude 5.0+ earthquake recorded within roughly 300 km of this location in the past year (43 others in that window). The nearest major population center is Port Vila, Vanuatu, roughly 487 km away (population ~50,000).
A magnitude 6.9 earthquake struck 197 km WNW of Port-Olry, Vanuatu at a depth of about 10 km, reported by the USGS. Earthquakes of this size can cause significant damage to vulnerable structures near the epicenter. This is at least the 42nd magnitude 5.0+ earthquake recorded within roughly 300 km of this location in the past year (41 others in that window). The nearest major population center is Port Vila, Vanuatu, roughly 505 km away (population ~50,000).
A magnitude 7.2 earthquake struck 200 km W of Sola, Vanuatu at a depth of about 10 km, reported by the USGS. Earthquakes of this size can cause major damage near the epicenter and, if under the ocean, may generate a tsunami. This is at least the 42nd magnitude 5.0+ earthquake recorded within roughly 300 km of this location in the past year (41 others in that window). The nearest major population center is Port Vila, Vanuatu, roughly 519 km away (population ~50,000).
Israel has been raised to "Level 3: Reconsider Travel" by the U.S. State Department. Reconsider travelto Israel due to terrorism and unrest. Some areas have increased risk. Read the entire Travel Advisory. As of August 26, 2026, family members may join U.S. government employees who work in Israel. U.S. government employee travel restrictions U.S. government employees working in Israel are restricted from the following locations due to safety risks: Areas north of Route 85 to Route 90 (south) to Route 87; Within 11.3 kilometers/7 miles of the Gaza Strip; and Within 2.4 kilometers This is the first change to Israel's travel advisory level we've tracked.
Gaza has been raised to "Level 4: Do Not Travel" by the U.S. State Department. Do not travel to Gaza due to terrorism, unrest, and limited health infrastructure. Restrictions on U.S. Government Personnel Movement U.S. government employees are prohibited from traveling to Gaza for any reason due to safety risks. The U.S. government is unable to provide routine or emergency consular services to U.S. citizens in Gaza. Terrorism Terrorist groups, lone-actor terrorists, and other violent extremists continue plotting possible attacks in Gaza. Terrorists and violent extremists ma This is the first change to Gaza's travel advisory level we've tracked.
The West Bank has been raised to "Level 3: Reconsider Travel" by the U.S. State Department. Reconsider travelto the West Bank due to terrorism and unrest. U.S. government employee travel restrictions U.S. government employees working in Israel must obtain special authorization for official travel to the West Bank due to safety risks. U.S. government employees working in Israel and their family members are currently restricted from all personal travel to the West Bank, except: Travel on Routes 1, 90 (to the Allenby Bridge crossing), and 443 at any time. Travel to Jericho and Bethlehem, This is the first change to The West Bank's travel advisory level we've tracked.
A magnitude 7.0 earthquake struck 183 km ENE of Nagqu, China at a depth of about 10 km, reported by the USGS. Earthquakes of this size can cause major damage near the epicenter and, if under the ocean, may generate a tsunami. This is the first magnitude 5.0+ earthquake recorded within roughly 300 km of this location in the past year. The nearest major population center is Guwahati, India, roughly 715 km away (population ~1.1 million).
A magnitude 6.3 earthquake struck 204 km WNW of Port-Olry, Vanuatu at a depth of about 10 km, reported by the USGS. Earthquakes of this size can cause significant damage to vulnerable structures near the epicenter. This is at least the 36th magnitude 5.0+ earthquake recorded within roughly 300 km of this location in the past year (35 others in that window). The nearest major population center is Port Vila, Vanuatu, roughly 511 km away (population ~50,000).
Kenya has been raised to "Level 3: Reconsider Travel" by the U.S. State Department. Reconsider travelto Kenya due to risk of health, crime, kidnapping, terrorism, unrest, and traffic safety. Some areas have increased risk. Read the entire Travel Advisory. The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has issued a Travel Health Notice for Ebola Bundibugyo Virus Disease for Kenya. The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has issued a Travel Health Notice for Ebola for the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). On May 17, the World Health Organizati This is the 2nd change to Kenya's advisory level since we started tracking it 1 month(s) ago.
GOES satellites measured a M1.7-class solar flare peaking at 2026-10-19T09:03:00Z (X-ray flux 1.7e-5 W/m2, radio-blackout scale ~R1). Flares cause immediate shortwave radio blackouts on Earth's sunlit side. If this flare launched a CME toward Earth, a geomagnetic storm could follow in 1-3 days - worth watching the Kp index.
A magnitude 6.0 earthquake struck 186 km NW of Port-Olry, Vanuatu at a depth of about 10 km, reported by the USGS. Earthquakes of this size can cause significant damage to vulnerable structures near the epicenter. This is at least the 30th magnitude 5.0+ earthquake recorded within roughly 300 km of this location in the past year (29 others in that window). The nearest major population center is Port Vila, Vanuatu, roughly 497 km away (population ~50,000).
From 16/10/2026 to 17/10/2026, a Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 130 km/h) WATI-26 was active in SEPacific. The cyclone affects these countries: Cook Islands (vulnerability Medium). Estimated population affected by category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 4982 . Classified Orange by GDACS, the EU Joint Research Centre's Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System.
Tropical Storm Warning issued October 18 at 4:40AM ChST by NWS Tiyan GU (National Weather Service, United States). Currently covers 4 areas: Tinian; Saipan; Tinian Coastal Waters; Saipan Coastal Waters.
Extreme Wind Warning issued October 18 at 3:26AM ChST until October 18 at 5:30AM ChST by NWS Tiyan GU (National Weather Service, United States). Affected area: Guam, GU.
From 16/10/2026 to 16/10/2026, a Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 120 km/h) ONE-26 was active in SEPacific. The cyclone affects these countries: Cook Islands (vulnerability Medium). Estimated population affected by category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 3815 . Classified Orange by GDACS, the EU Joint Research Centre's Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System.
From 14/10/2026 to 16/10/2026, a Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 250 km/h) CHAMPI-26 was active in NWPacific. The cyclone affects these countries: Guam (vulnerability Medium). Estimated population affected by category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 0.175 million . Classified Red by GDACS, the EU Joint Research Centre's Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System.
GOES satellites measured a M1.4-class solar flare peaking at 2026-10-16T15:42:00Z (X-ray flux 1.4e-5 W/m2, radio-blackout scale ~R1). Flares cause immediate shortwave radio blackouts on Earth's sunlit side. If this flare launched a CME toward Earth, a geomagnetic storm could follow in 1-3 days - worth watching the Kp index.
A magnitude 6.9 earthquake struck 76 km NE of Ozernovskiy, Russia at a depth of about 143 km, reported by the USGS. Earthquakes of this size can cause significant damage to vulnerable structures near the epicenter. This is at least the 111th magnitude 5.0+ earthquake recorded within roughly 300 km of this location in the past year (110 others in that window). The nearest major population center is Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky, Russia, roughly 147 km away (population ~180,000).
From 13/10/2026 to 15/10/2026, a Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 231 km/h) TRUDY-26 was active in EastPacific. The cyclone affects these countries: México (vulnerability Medium). Estimated population affected by category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 45247 . Classified Orange by GDACS, the EU Joint Research Centre's Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System.
Papua New Guinea has been raised to "Level 3: Reconsider Travel" by the U.S. State Department. Reconsider travelto Papua New Guinea due to crime, civil unrest, and piracy. Exercise increased caution due to kidnapping, unexploded ordnance, inconsistent availability of healthcare services, and potential for natural disasters. Some areas have increased risk. Read the entire Travel Advisory. Violent crime, including sexual assault, carjackings, home invasions, and armed robberies, is common. There have been reports of criminals attacking resorts popular with foreign tourists to steal goods a This is the first change to Papua New Guinea's travel advisory level we've tracked.
From 14/10/2026 to 14/10/2026, a Tropical Depression (maximum wind speed of 231 km/h) TWENTYNINE-26 was active in NWPacific. The cyclone affects these countries: Guam (vulnerability Medium). Estimated population affected by category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 0.177 million . Classified Orange by GDACS, the EU Joint Research Centre's Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System.
A magnitude 6.0 earthquake struck 126 km S of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea at a depth of about 21 km, reported by the USGS. Earthquakes of this size can cause significant damage to vulnerable structures near the epicenter. This is at least the 39th magnitude 5.0+ earthquake recorded within roughly 300 km of this location in the past year (38 others in that window). The nearest major population center is Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea, roughly 701 km away (population ~400,000).
A magnitude 6.9 earthquake struck central Mid-Atlantic Ridge at a depth of about 10 km, reported by the USGS. Earthquakes of this size can cause significant damage to vulnerable structures near the epicenter. This is at least the 7th magnitude 5.0+ earthquake recorded within roughly 300 km of this location in the past year (6 others in that window). The nearest major population center is Lagos, Nigeria, roughly 2644 km away (population ~15.4 million).
A magnitude 6.7 earthquake struck central Mid-Atlantic Ridge at a depth of about 10 km, reported by the USGS. Earthquakes of this size can cause significant damage to vulnerable structures near the epicenter. This is at least the 5th magnitude 5.0+ earthquake recorded within roughly 300 km of this location in the past year (4 others in that window). The nearest major population center is Lagos, Nigeria, roughly 2673 km away (population ~15.4 million).
A magnitude 6.1 earthquake struck 18 km W of Río Grande, Panama at a depth of about 10 km, reported by the USGS. Earthquakes of this size can cause significant damage to vulnerable structures near the epicenter. This is at least the 21st magnitude 5.0+ earthquake recorded within roughly 300 km of this location in the past year (20 others in that window). The nearest major population center is Panama City, Panama, roughly 260 km away (population ~1.7 million).
A magnitude 6.2 earthquake struck 79 km SSE of Panguna, Papua New Guinea at a depth of about 53 km, reported by the USGS. Earthquakes of this size can cause significant damage to vulnerable structures near the epicenter. This is at least the 14th magnitude 5.0+ earthquake recorded within roughly 300 km of this location in the past year (13 others in that window). The nearest major population center is Honiara, Solomon Islands, roughly 540 km away (population ~90,000).
From 07/10/2026 to 10/10/2026, a Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 241 km/h) SIMON-26 was active in EastPacific. The cyclone affects these countries: Mexico (vulnerability Medium). Estimated population affected by category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 0.749 million . Classified Red by GDACS, the EU Joint Research Centre's Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System.
Planetary Kp index has reached 7.0, which is NOAA level G3 (Strong geomagnetic storm). Aurora likely at mid-latitudes (much of the northern US and central Europe). Possible impacts: voltage irregularities on power grids, GPS degradation, HF radio problems, satellite drag.
GOES satellites measured a M1.2-class solar flare peaking at 2026-10-10T14:12:00Z (X-ray flux 1.2e-5 W/m2, radio-blackout scale ~R1). Flares cause immediate shortwave radio blackouts on Earth's sunlit side. If this flare launched a CME toward Earth, a geomagnetic storm could follow in 1-3 days - worth watching the Kp index.
A magnitude 6.0 earthquake struck 7 km N of La Tronosa, Panama at a depth of about 10 km, reported by the USGS. Earthquakes of this size can cause significant damage to vulnerable structures near the epicenter. This is at least the 18th magnitude 5.0+ earthquake recorded within roughly 300 km of this location in the past year (17 others in that window). The nearest major population center is Panama City, Panama, roughly 202 km away (population ~1.7 million).
A magnitude 6.6 earthquake struck 14 km W of Río Grande, Panama at a depth of about 10 km, reported by the USGS. Earthquakes of this size can cause significant damage to vulnerable structures near the epicenter. This is at least the 13th magnitude 5.0+ earthquake recorded within roughly 300 km of this location in the past year (12 others in that window). The nearest major population center is Panama City, Panama, roughly 256 km away (population ~1.7 million).
